A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise.
A semi-empirical relation is presented that connects global sea-level rise to global mean surface temperature. It is proposed that, for time scales relevant to anthropogenic warming, the rate of sea-level rise is roughly proportional to the magnitude of warming above the temperatures of the pre-Industrial Age. This holds to good approximation for temperature and sea-level changes during the 20t...
متن کاملResponse to Comments on “A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise”
The technical comments by Holgate et al. (1) and Schmith et al. (2) provide a welcome opportunity to present further analysis of the link between sea-level rise and global warming, and to make the computer code used in the analysis available for use by other researchers (see Supporting Online Material). Holgate et al. raise two issues. The first, shown in Fig. 1 in (1), concerns what they call ...
متن کاملComment on "A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise".
Rahmstorf (Reports, 19 January 2007, p. 368) presented an approach for predicting sea-level rise based on a proposed linear relationship between global mean surface temperature and the rate of global mean sea-level change. We find no such linear relationship. Although we agree that there is considerable uncertainty in the prediction of future sea-level rise, this approach does not meaningfully ...
متن کاملEstimates of Future Sea Level Rise
Accurate monitoring of atmospheric carbon dioxide began 25 years ago. Since then, sufficient scientific evidence has been developed for two National Academy of Sciences review panels to conclude that sometime in the next century, atmospheric concentrations of C02 will almost certainly double and raise the atmosphere's mean surface temperature by at least 1.5C (2.7 F) and possibly as much as 4.5...
متن کاملA new approach to projecting 21st century sea-level changes and extremes: 21st century sea level
Future increases in flooding potential around the world’s coastlines from extreme sea level events is heavily dependent on projections of future global mean sea level (GMSL) rise. Yet, the two main approaches for projecting 21st century GMSL rise—i.e., process-based versus semi-empirical—give inconsistent results. Here, a novel hybrid approach to GMSL projection, containing a process-based ther...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Science
سال: 2007
ISSN: 0036-8075,1095-9203
DOI: 10.1126/science.1135456